Strategic Foresight and Future Scenario Planning

Module 1: horizon scanning

Interpret the issue through the organization’s processes, information, responsibilities, and risk appetite. Establish the vocabulary, boundaries, stakeholders, and decision context for horizon scanning.

Convert the analysis into a role-specific executive case with explicit owners and decision gates. Separate established requirements and reliable evidence from untested assumptions about horizon scanning.

Peer-review feasibility, unintended effects, and the evidence required before approval. Map horizon scanning to the organization’s current responsibilities, dependencies, and constraints.

Module 2: drivers uncertainties and signals

Interpret the issue through the organization’s processes, information, responsibilities, and risk appetite. Diagnose the current state of drivers uncertainties and signals using a structured decision workshop.

Convert the analysis into a role-specific decision workshop with explicit owners and decision gates. Compare alternative methods and select an approach suited to risk, maturity, and scale.

Peer-review feasibility, unintended effects, and the evidence required before approval. Document requirements, owners, decision criteria, and exceptions for drivers uncertainties and signals.

Module 3: scenario construction

Interpret the issue through the organization’s processes, information, responsibilities, and risk appetite. Design the workflow, safeguards, and handoffs required for scenario construction.

Convert the analysis into a role-specific strategy roadmap with explicit owners and decision gates. Test normal, failure, and edge-case scenarios before operational adoption.

Peer-review feasibility, unintended effects, and the evidence required before approval. Review the design for security, quality, accessibility, sustainability, or assurance implications as relevant.

Module 4: implications options and indicators

Interpret the issue through the organization’s processes, information, responsibilities, and risk appetite. Define meaningful measures, evidence, review cadence, and escalation thresholds for implications options and indicators.

Convert the analysis into a role-specific executive case with explicit owners and decision gates. Investigate performance gaps and separate root causes from symptoms.

Peer-review feasibility, unintended effects, and the evidence required before approval. Plan corrective action, controlled change, and accountable follow-through.

Module 5: Applied Strategic Foresight and Future Scenario Planning Workshop

Interpret the issue through the organization’s processes, information, responsibilities, and risk appetite. Complete a decision workshop that integrates the course decisions around executive foresight workshop.

Convert the analysis into a role-specific decision workshop with explicit owners and decision gates. Defend recommendations against a realistic stakeholder challenge or scenario.

Peer-review feasibility, unintended effects, and the evidence required before approval. Produce a prioritized workplace action plan with owners, dependencies, and review points.